PENGARUH MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION TERHADAP DISTRIBUSI TEMPORAL DAN PROPAGASI HUJAN BERDASARKAN PENGAMATAN RADAR CUACA (Studi Kasus : Intensive Observation Period 2016 di Wilayah Jakarta dan Sekitarnya)
Main Article Content
Abstract
Intisari
Distribusi temporal dan propagasi hujan selama Intensive Observation Period 2016 (IOP 2016, 18 Januari – 16 Februari 2016) di wilayah Jakarta dan sekitarnya dianalisis berdasarkan rataan longitudinal dan latitudinal data Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator (CAPPI) radar cuaca, pada periode sebelum, saat dan sesudah fase aktif Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO). Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa distribusi temporal hujan berkurang secara signifikan pada periode MJO aktif dan sesudah MJO, terutama pada dini hari. Di sisi lain, intensitas hujan semakin meningkat dengan nilai rata-rata di atas 30 mm/jam pada periode setelah MJO. Pada komponen zonal, arah propagasi hujan umumnya dominan dari barat ke timur pada ketiga periode analisis, sedangkan untuk komponen meridional, terdapat variasi yang cukup signifikan pada periode saat dan setelah MJO aktif . Pergerakan hujan dari selatan ke utara pada kedua periode tersebut menunjukkan pengaruh siklus diurnal yang semakin kuat dibandingkan pengaruh monsun, setelah MJO melintasi wilayah barat Benua Maritim Indonesia.
 Â
Â
Abstract
Temporal distribution and propagation of rainfall during Intensive Observation Period 2016 campaign (IOP 2016, January 18 – February 16, 2016) in Jakarta and surrounding area were investigated based on the longitudinal dan latitudinal averages of Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator (CAPPI) dataset of weather radar, during the active Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) phase, as well as, pre-MJO and post-MJO periods. The results show a significant decrease of rainfall temporal distribution during the active MJO and post-MJO periods, particularly in the early morning, meanwhile, the rainfall intensity shows significant increase, with the averages of more than 30 mm/hr during the post-MJO period. On the zonal component, the rainfall mostly has eastward propagation for all period while having more significant variations on the meridional component during the active and post-MJO periods. Northward rainfall propagation during the active and post-MJO periods indicates the strengthen effect of diurnal cycle over monsoon after the MJO passed by the western part of Indonesian Maritime Continent.
Â
Article Details
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
a). Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
b). Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
c). Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
d). Each author must sign the copyright transfer statement. The article will not be published unless this form has been signed and received.
OPEN ACCESS POLICY
Jurnal Sains & Teknologi Modifikasi Cuaca provides immediate open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge.
JSTMC by BBTMC-BPPT is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at http://ejurnal.bppt.go.id/index.php/JSTMC
References
Chang, C.P., Wang, Z., McBride, J., Liu, C.H. (2005). Annual Cycle of Southeast Asia – Maritime Continent Rainfall and the Asymetric Monsoon Transition. Journal of Climate, 18(2), 287-301. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-3257.1
Hattori, M., Mori, S., Matsumoto, J. (2011). The Cross-Equatorial Northerly Surge over the Maritime Continent and Its Relationship to Precipitation Patterns. Journal of the Meteorological Society Japan, 89A, 27-47. doi: 10.2151/jmsj.2011-A02
Hidayat, R., Kizu, S. (2010). Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Indonesian Rainfall Variability in Austral Summer. International Journal of Climatology, 30(12), 1816-1825. doi: 10.1002/joc.2005
Hidayat, R. (2016). Modulation of Indonesian Rainfall Variability by the Madden-julian Oscillation. Procedia Environmental Science, 33, 167-177. doi: 10.1016/j.proenv.2016.03.067
Kamimera, H., Mori, S., Yamanaka, M.D., Syamsudin, F. (2012). Modulation of Diurnal Rainfall Cycle by the Madden-Julian Oscillation Based on One-Year Continuous Observations with a Meteorological Radar in West Sumatera. SOLA, 8, 111-114. doi: 10.2151/sola.2012-028
Madden, R.A., Jullian, P.R. (1994). Observations of the 40–50-Day Tropical Oscillation — A Review. Monthly Weather Review, 122(5), 814-837. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(1994)122<0814:OOTDTO>2.0.CO;2
Marshall, J.S., Palmer, W.McK. (1948). The Distribution of Raindrops with Size. Journal Meteor, 5, 165-166.
Mori, S., Hamada, J.-I., Sakurai, N., Fudeyasu, H., Kawashima, M., Hashiguchi, H., Syamsudin, F., Arbain, A.A., Sulistyowati, R., Matsumoto, M., Yamanaka, M.D. (2011). Convective System Developed along the Coastline of Sumatera Island, Indonesia, Observed with an X-Band Doppler Radar during the HARIMAU2006 Campaign. Journal of the Meteorological Society Japan, 89A, 61-81. doi: 10.2151/jmsj.2011-A04
Peatman, S.C., Matthews, A.J., Stevens, D.P. (2014). Propagation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Through the Maritime Continent and Scale Interaction with the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation. Quarterly Journal of The Royal Meteorological Society, 140(680), 814–825. doi: 10.1002/qj.2161
Peatman, S.C., Matthews, A.J., Stevens, D.P. (2015). Propagation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Scale Interaction with the Diurnal Cycle in a High-Resolution GCM. Climate Dynamics, 45, 2901-2918. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2513-5
Renggono, F., Hashiguchi, H., Fukao, S., Yamanaka, M.D., Ogino, S.Y., Okamoto, N., Murata, F., Sitorus, B.P., Kudsy, M., Kartasasmita, M., Ibrahim, G. (2001). Precipitating Clouds Observed by 1.3-GHz Boundary Layer Radars in Equatorial Indonesia. Annales Geophysicae, 19(8). 889–897.
Tikno, S., Yahya, R.B., Syafira, S.S. (2016). Perbandingan Profil Hujan Vertikal Radar Cuaca dengan Micro Rain Radar Selama Kejadian Hujan Sedang (Studi Kasus: Intensive Observation Period 2016). Jurnal Sains & Teknologi Modifikasi Cuaca, 17(2), 57-64.
Trilaksono, N.J., Otsuka, S., Yoden,S.. (2012). A Time-Lagged Ensemble Simulation on the Modulation of Precipitation over West Java in January-February 2007. Monthly Weather Review, 140(2), 601-616. doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00094.1
Wheeler, M.C., Hendon, H.H. (2004). An All-Season Real-Time Multivariate MJO Index: Development of an Index for Monitoring and Prediction. Monthly Weather Review, 132(8), 1917-1932. doi: 10.1175/1520-0493(2004)132<1917:AARMMI>2.0.CO;2
Wu, P., Hara, M., Fudeyasu, H., Yamanaka, M.D., Matsumoto, J., Syamsudin, F., Sulistyowati, R., Djajadihardja, Y.S. (2007). The Impact of Trans-Equatorial Monsoon Flow on the Formation of Repeated Torrential Rains over Java Island. SOLA, 3, 93-96. doi: 10.2151/sola.2007-024
Wu, P., Arbain, A.A., Mori, S., Hamada, J-I., Hattori, M., Syamsudin, F., Yamanaka, M.D. (2013). The Effects of an Active Phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the Extreme Precipitation Event over Western Java Island in January 2013. SOLA, 9, 79 - 83. doi: 10.2151/sola.2013-018